Confirmation bias
We may notice support for a belief more readily than evidence against it.
What would I expect to see if my belief were mistaken?
Thinking shortcuts are useful until they quietly become the whole argument. Browse these prompts and ask where a shortcut might be affecting a real decision.
We may notice support for a belief more readily than evidence against it.
What would I expect to see if my belief were mistaken?
A vivid or recent example can feel more common than it is.
What do the base rates or a wider sample suggest?
Time or money already spent can make it hard to evaluate the next step on its own merits.
If I were starting today, would I choose this path?
Keeping things as they are may feel safer, even when it carries a cost.
If this were the new proposal, would I accept it?
A strong impression in one area may colour our judgment in another.
What evidence speaks to this specific ability or claim?
We may explain another person's behaviour by character and our own by circumstance.
What situation might explain their action without excusing harm?
These are short learning prompts, not a diagnostic instrument. Use a decision canvas to test what matters in your case.